Monday, September 7, 2009

NFL Power Rankings - Week 1

In my first edition of NFL Power Rankings(about as pointless as the preseason AP poll in the NCAA), let's see how I do. In case you have never been fortunate enough to read one of these, odds are frequent ESPN.com addicts have, I will be ranking every team with a couple sentences of attached analysis. Since this is the first week I have also attached an over/under on wins for each team. Challenge me if you want, it could make this interesting. Hopefully all will go as planned and I will never have to change this thing, honestly that never happens. So here is my version of...


NFL Power Rankings


1. Pittsburgh Steelers (over/under 11 wins)

When you are the defending champs and your biggest loss was your third wideout (Nate Washington) odds are you will be atop everyone's list. Plus Big Ben is still their QB, all he does is win. Prediction: under

2. New England Patriots (over/under 12 wins)

I heard analysis that the team might be better then the team which went 18-NYG(New York Giants). Brady seems to be healthy but Brady to Moss 30 times, doubtful. Defense is the big question mark with them. Prediction: over

3. San Diego Chargers (over/under 11 wins)

Rivers, Gates, LT, Merriman, V. Jackson, Phillips, Williams...need I say more? They are going to be the class of the AFC West (that isn't saying much) but how could they not be. San Diego is always classy and they are going to stay that way. Prediction: Over

4. Baltimore Ravens (over/under 10 wins)

Biased you say, yes I say but hear/read me out. The team will go as far as Flacco and the defense will carry them. Yes Bart Scott is gone but we, like the Steelers, are deep at this position. Plus I like our offense with a side of Rice. Add that to the undefeated preseason, haven't done that since the Super Bowl...Festivus Maximus season in 2000. Prediction: over

5. Atlanta Falcons (over/under 11 wins)

Our first NFC team, for good reason. Matt Ryan is a year experienced and now has a perennial Hall of Fame TE in Tony Gonzalez to throw to. Add last year's 2nd ranked rushing attack and a decent defense, the A-T-L have something special. Prediction: Under

6. Minnesota Vikings (over/under 11 wins)

Favre Favre Favre Favre Favre Brett Favre Favre Favre Favre Favre Favre Favre...oh and some guy named Adrian Peterson, I hear he's a monster. Add their great D (at least against the run) and they have a lot of people talking Super Bowl. Prediction: Under
7. Indianapolis Colts (over/under 10 wins)

With Peyton Manning at the helm I can't have this team drop too much lower, with a coaching change and the loss of Marvin Harrison, who knows how far they can go. Prediction: under

8. Philadelphia Eagles (over/under 10 wins)
Eagles fans, I spelled that right. I am pretty sure it goes E-A-G-L-E-S Eagles! The D will play with an emotional chip on their shoulder due to the loss of Jim Johnson, their defensive coordinator. McNabb has some weapons but the one thing that concerns me is Westbrook's health. Prediction: over

9. Carolina Panthers (over/under 10 wins)

Great running game, great O line, decent defense but its Delhomme who costs them a higher ranking. Also Julius Peppers hasn't looked so hot in the preseason, no wonder no one wanted him in the offseason. Prediction: under

10. Chicago Bears (over/under 9 wins)

When was the last time Chicago had a decent QB? I'm too young to remember, my grandfather is too young to remember. The team upgraded and got Jay Cutler in the offseason the only problem being no stellar wideouts. However, they do have Matt Forte. The defense needs to be better then they were last season or this team will be in trouble since Cutler will turn the ball over. Prediction: under

11. Tennessee Titans (over/under 10 wins)

Offensively they are the same, White and Johnson(whatever their nicknames) are going to run the ball...a lot. Can the defense replace Haynesworth and stop an upstart Texans team from moving up in their own division? The world may never know, at least not until Thursday night. Prediction: under


12. Arizona Cardinals (over/under 9 wins)

This one is a toss up. Honestly I don't even see them winning their division this season but they are going to pass the ball all day. Run the ball like 9 times a game and possibly make me eat my words later in the year. Besides they just lost the Super Bowl, how has that gone for other teams? Prediction: under

13. Dallas Cowboys (over/under 9 wins)

Their receiving core is a big question to me, can Roy Williams own like he used to 3 years ago? They are deep at RB with Barber and Jones plus their defense, or just Demarcus Ware, is going to punish opposing QBs. Prediction: over

14. Houston Texans (over/under 9 wins)

They finished the season strong the biggest issue is Schaub's health. Especially since their backups are Rex Grossman and Dan "Stepped Out of My Own Endzone" Orlovsky. Slaton and Johnson are beasts plus the defense is turning around. Sports Illustrated has them winning the division. We'll see. Prediction: over

15. Green Bay Packers (over/under 8 wins)

Aaron Rodgers is going to have an MVP like season. Unfortunately the team is going to finish third in the division. Good news for him though, he can try to show up Brett Favre...twice! Oh yeah! Ryan Grant being healthy (he was a monster for them when he was) will control where they finish in the division. Prediction: over

16. Miami Dolphins (over/under 9 wins)

Underrated you say? I mean they did win the division and help myself and Antoine make fun of our Pats fan buddy Marcel for them not making the playoffs...other than that...I got nothing. They really didn't make any crazy offseason moves. Getting Jason Taylor back will help strengthen the defense a little and throwing rookie Pat White out in the wildcat (draft him in fantasy the week they play the Patriots) will prove to be exciting. Prediction: under

17. New York Giants (over/under 9 wins)

Until I see how the receiving core performs the team will stay low. Great defense that is getting their best pass rusher back in Umenyiora and Brandon Jacobs surely will truck someone this season. Surely I can't be serious? Well I am serious and don't call me Shirley. Prediction: under

18. Seattle Seahawks (over/under 9 wins)

This team will win the dismal NFC West this year. Edgerrin James has a chip on his shoulder and hello this team should go all the way. They picked up T.J. Houshmanzadeh, championship! Prediction: WAY over

19. New Orleans Saints (over/under 8 wins)

They play in the hardest division in football and are kicking themselves for this whole Reggie Bust...I mean Bush not panning out. Without Drew Brees they would be so much lower then this. Saying everyone stays healthy on offense they could make things interesting. Prediction: under

20. Denver Broncos (over/under 7 wins)

Amidst all this drama is a semi decent offense with a supposed offensive mastermind as a head coach. If he is such a mastermind though, why would he upset his best player(s) causing him (Cutler) to be traded? Enjoy the show Broncos fans, I bet the owner misses the Shanahan days already. Prediction: under

21. Jacksonville Jaguars (over/under 7 wins)

Del Rio needs to win this year or he might be out. 64 calories of MJD(Maurice Jones Drew) will help but a struggling offensive line, subpar receiving core(sorry Torry Holt) and aging defense don't. Prediction: over


22. Cleveland Browns (over/under 6 wins)

They have no idea who the starting QB will be but rest assured that Braylon Edwards will drop whatever pass they throw to him. Unless its on Monday Night Football(unfortunately for me that will be against the Ravens). Prediction: under

23. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (over/under 6 wins)

New regime, no Derrick Brooks and a whole lot of new faces in the locker room. About week 10 we might be seeing Josh Freeman. Prove me wrong Bucs. I dare ya, I double dare ya! Prediction: under

24. Kansas City Chiefs (over/under 6 wins)

Matt Cassel is an upgrade, he will have fans screaming for somewhere over the Dwayne Bowe. However the defense is pretty much the same and last year the only thing they were good at was making Matt Cassel a full time starter. It feels like we have come full circle now! Prediction: under

25. Washington Redskins (over/under 7 wins)

You know maybe they are low or maybe they just aren't any good. I have a feeling unless Jason Campbell has a Drew Brees like season he is out as their starter. Dan Snyder will do whatever it takes (including overpay for Albert Haynesworth) to win. In his case its to lose. He should have spent some money on the offensive side of the ball since technically I have scored more this preseason then them. Prediction: over


26. New York Jets (over/under 5 wins)

J-E-T-S suck suck suck. Rookie QB and Rookie coach has a nice ring to it after last year. If Rex Ryan suits up against the Pats he will never be fired. EVER! Bart Scott prediction he, like so many other previous Ravens LBs who have flown the coop, will be subpar at best. Hopefully, since I actually like the guy, he won't injure himself like those before him. Prediction: over

27. Buffalo Bills (over/under 6 wins)

When T.O. realizes he is playing for Buffalo in about week 3 he is going to demand for a trade, mock the city of Buffalo and ask for Trent Edwards head on a stake. What will be a larger number? T.O. TDs or Bills wins? Is Marshawn Lynch arrest warrants a choice? Prediction: Under

28. Cincinnati Bengals (over/under 5 wins)

Carson Palmer is back and says he thinks someone will die in the NFL. If he isn't careful its going to be him. Run Carson! Run for your life! Although Chris Henry and Chad Ochocinco are looking like a decent tandem, the O line is horrible and they're the only team in the AFC North with a horrible defense. Go figure Marvin Lewis. Prediction: under

29. San Francisco 49ers (over/under 6 wins)

My childhood team is not what they used to be. Joe Montana could come out of retirement and be their best option behind center. Actually direct snap to Gore sounds like a good idea. Write that down Mike Singletary, he wants winners! Go get Montana and your set buddy. Prediction: Under

30. Oakland Raiders (over/under 6 wins)

How is this team not last? Kyle Boller has zero chance of starting any games for them, that's how. The defense shows up at times and if Darren McFadden will just stop getting hurt they might get something going this year. My bold prediction is they will have more wins then Heyward-Bey has TDs. Prediction: Over

31. St. Louis Rams (over/under 4 wins)

They picked up Kyle Boller in the offseason and Bulger could miss some time early in the season. Steven Jackson will have two games that make you say wow. Then he will have one game where he says "OW!" Missing the rest of the season. Prediction: Under
32. Detroit Lions (over/under 2 wins)
They have to win at least one game right? The team is still building although they do have a decent amount of young talent on the offensive side of the ball with Calvin "Megatron" Johnson(WR) and Kevin Smith(RB). Last year there were some close games and Smith is predicting playoffs this season. Really, playoffs? Playoffs? You kidding me! Playoffs?!?! Prediction: Over
So there you have it. If you want to compare mine with the guys at ESPN here is their preseason power rankings http://espn.go.com/nfl/powerrankings. Anyone who wants to challenge me in over/under just needs to shoot me an email or hit up the comments. These will be updated each week with new rankings after every game is played (probably Wednesdays). Until next time, thanks for bsing with BS!

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